Dubai’s off-plan property market is entering one of its largest handover cycles in years.But new data from developers and analysts shows a growing mismatch between projects planned and projects actually delivered on schedule.
And that timing gap has serious financial consequences at handover.
When delivery dates shift but final payments do not, buyers face:
This is how otherwise healthy transactions break down – not because of creditworthiness, but because of timing.
Supply: Completed Units
Around 17,300 residential units were delivered in the first half of 2025, with nearly 42.4% concentrated in Jumeirah Village Circle, Sobha Hartland, and Mohammed Bin Rashid City.
Apartments accounted for 77.3% of completions; villas and townhouses made up the rest.
Source: Property Monitor, Cavendish Maxwell
Only 42% of the residential units scheduled for completion in Q3 2025 were actually delivered.
That means 58% remain overdue – reflecting persistent construction-capacity and supply-chain delays, despite record-high new launches.These findings align with ValuStrat and Morgan’s Realty data: planned supply continues to outpace real-world delivery, putting both buyers and developers under growing capital-timing pressure at the handover stage.
Source: Independent Q3 2025 project-completion tracker; aligned with ValuStrat and Morgan’s Realty delivery-rate estimates
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Dubai’s residential pipeline remains elevated, with 100,000+ units scheduled annually through 2027.If completion rates remain near current levels (around 60% of scheduled supply), late handovers will increase sharply.
The result:
What to Watch:
Who Is Most Exposed:
How to Mitigate the Risk:
Even if just 25–35% of buyers experience a liquidity shortfall, the effect is large:
~70,000 scheduled units × ~30 % liquidity shortfall rate ≈ 21,000 buyers affected.
That is not a niche scenario – it is a market segment.
Handover is no longer a transactional milestone – it is a risk checkpoint, where capital timing defines outcome.
Those who prepare rescue-liquidity solutions early:
Those who react late face:
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